We all understand my limitations with this preview right? I can stop saying that. Yes. ) Alexis Diaz has been bad, but is still their closer which is interesting since the bullpen appears good. Hes only blown 2 saves all saw how unhittable Fernando Cruz can be. Somehow he has a 40. 6 K% 41. 3% now) but a 3. 48 3. 89) ERA probably a little related to that 12. 6% walk rate) https://www.gamedaystlouiscardinals.com/collections/jon-lester-jersey
. Sam Moll has a 1. 65 1. 56) ERA, but only strikes out 22% 23. 1%) of batters and has not allowed a homer, so its definitely fluky. Buck Farmer is another pitcher with an extremely fluky ERA. He only strikes out 18% of batters and walks a decent amount. Brent Suter is Brent Suter, weve seen him a lot, still doing his thing. Lucas Sims has been hit hard by the home run bug. I have no idea how this bullpen ranks 4th in fWAR actually, must be because they play in Great American - 6:45 PMFrankie Montas 4. 48 ERA/4. 52 FIP/4 https://www.gamedaystlouiscardinals.com/collections/vince-coleman-jersey
. 50 xFIP) vs. Miles Mikolas 4. 68 ERA/4. 05 FIP/4. 01 xFIP 4. 06/4. 02)Mikolas good run of starts ended with his most recent start, although I think he was somewhat frazzled by how his start began, with three weak hits leading to a run to 1st and 3rd, and then a stolen base soon after. But considering he gave up 3 after 1, lasting six innings with just one more earned run was a positive result. Im guessing the Reds were hoping for better when they signed sign Montas to a 1 year, $16 million deal. Hes just not missing bats this - 7:15 PMNick Lodolo 2. 762. 96 ERA/3. 34 3. 61 FIP/3. 53 3. 71 xFIP) vs. Sonny Gray 2. 813. 112. 602. 752. 95 2. 81 ERA/2. 58 2. 60 FIP/2. 76 2. 75 xFIP)Gray is certainly facing off some heavy hitters lately. Thats the job of an ace though, to face other aces. And Lodolo is a tough pitcher. The Cardinals did okay against him last time. While he allowed one earned run over 5. 1 IP, he only struck out 3. He has a career 28 K% so he can miss - 1:15 PMCarson Spiers 3. 453. 402. 324. 02 3. 20 3. 45 ERA/2. 39 3. 24 https://www.gamedaystlouiscardinals.com/collections/kyle-leahy-jersey
. 0 FIP/4. 09 4. 02 xFIP) vs. Lance Lynn 4. 08 3. 86 ERA/4. 08 4. 05 FIP/4. 10 4. 02 xFIP) For some reason, Spiers is not listed as the starter on Saturday on ESPN, but I dont see why he wouldnt start. He has a start on Sunday - this past Sunday - and its possible that start goes so badly, the Reds change plans, but it seems like hes in line to start, he has good stats, I cant see one start changing hasnt missed many bats, but he has not walked anybody either. Not literally, but he has a low BB rate. He also hasnt allowed any homers through 25 innings now over 31 innings)and hes not really a groundball pitcher so sounds like hes due to allow some home - 1:15 PMHunter Greene 3. 793. 273. 814. 233. 35 3. 79 ERA/3. 73 3. 81 FIP/4. 20 4. 23 xFIP) vs. Kyle Gibson 3. 44 3. 70 ERA/4. 14 4. 18 FIP/3. 95 4. 04xFIP)3. 704. 184. 04Greene has been a good pitcher, but hasnt quite taken that step into being an ace yet. But he does miss a ton of bats and is perfectly capable of just dominating an offense. We certainly know the Cards are definitely capable of getting shut one might expect from a team with a positive run differential and poor offense, all four pitchers for the Reds appear pretty solid. Not so good that the Cardinals can hit off them though Lodolo is pretty close), but definitely in an area where I dont blame the Cards offense if they cant hit. That is not always the case. Everything about this series seems like a split to me.


We all understand my limitations with this preview right? I can stop saying that. Yes. ) Alexis Diaz has been bad, but is still their closer which is interesting since the bullpen appears good. Hes only blown 2 saves all saw how unhittable Fernando Cruz can be. Somehow he has a 40. 6 K% 41. 3% now) but a 3. 48 3. 89) ERA probably a little related to that 12. 6% walk rate) https://www.gamedaystlouiscardinals.com/collections/jon-lester-jersey . Sam Moll has a 1. 65 1. 56) ERA, but only strikes out 22% 23. 1%) of batters and has not allowed a homer, so its definitely fluky. Buck Farmer is another pitcher with an extremely fluky ERA. He only strikes out 18% of batters and walks a decent amount. Brent Suter is Brent Suter, weve seen him a lot, still doing his thing. Lucas Sims has been hit hard by the home run bug. I have no idea how this bullpen ranks 4th in fWAR actually, must be because they play in Great American - 6:45 PMFrankie Montas 4. 48 ERA/4. 52 FIP/4 https://www.gamedaystlouiscardinals.com/collections/vince-coleman-jersey . 50 xFIP) vs. Miles Mikolas 4. 68 ERA/4. 05 FIP/4. 01 xFIP 4. 06/4. 02)Mikolas good run of starts ended with his most recent start, although I think he was somewhat frazzled by how his start began, with three weak hits leading to a run to 1st and 3rd, and then a stolen base soon after. But considering he gave up 3 after 1, lasting six innings with just one more earned run was a positive result. Im guessing the Reds were hoping for better when they signed sign Montas to a 1 year, $16 million deal. Hes just not missing bats this - 7:15 PMNick Lodolo 2. 762. 96 ERA/3. 34 3. 61 FIP/3. 53 3. 71 xFIP) vs. Sonny Gray 2. 813. 112. 602. 752. 95 2. 81 ERA/2. 58 2. 60 FIP/2. 76 2. 75 xFIP)Gray is certainly facing off some heavy hitters lately. Thats the job of an ace though, to face other aces. And Lodolo is a tough pitcher. The Cardinals did okay against him last time. While he allowed one earned run over 5. 1 IP, he only struck out 3. He has a career 28 K% so he can miss - 1:15 PMCarson Spiers 3. 453. 402. 324. 02 3. 20 3. 45 ERA/2. 39 3. 24 https://www.gamedaystlouiscardinals.com/collections/kyle-leahy-jersey . 0 FIP/4. 09 4. 02 xFIP) vs. Lance Lynn 4. 08 3. 86 ERA/4. 08 4. 05 FIP/4. 10 4. 02 xFIP) For some reason, Spiers is not listed as the starter on Saturday on ESPN, but I dont see why he wouldnt start. He has a start on Sunday - this past Sunday - and its possible that start goes so badly, the Reds change plans, but it seems like hes in line to start, he has good stats, I cant see one start changing hasnt missed many bats, but he has not walked anybody either. Not literally, but he has a low BB rate. He also hasnt allowed any homers through 25 innings now over 31 innings)and hes not really a groundball pitcher so sounds like hes due to allow some home - 1:15 PMHunter Greene 3. 793. 273. 814. 233. 35 3. 79 ERA/3. 73 3. 81 FIP/4. 20 4. 23 xFIP) vs. Kyle Gibson 3. 44 3. 70 ERA/4. 14 4. 18 FIP/3. 95 4. 04xFIP)3. 704. 184. 04Greene has been a good pitcher, but hasnt quite taken that step into being an ace yet. But he does miss a ton of bats and is perfectly capable of just dominating an offense. We certainly know the Cards are definitely capable of getting shut one might expect from a team with a positive run differential and poor offense, all four pitchers for the Reds appear pretty solid. Not so good that the Cardinals can hit off them though Lodolo is pretty close), but definitely in an area where I dont blame the Cards offense if they cant hit. That is not always the case. Everything about this series seems like a split to me.
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